Clay Guida vs Erik Koch

Clay Guida's 16-fight experience advantage (24 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Clay Guida for the expected result. Had Erik Koch pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Clay Guida earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Clay Guida dominated the striking exchanges with 133 vs 17 total strikes, 38 vs 13 significant strikes, 43.7% vs 33.3% accuracy. Clay Guida capitalized on this striking dominance.

Clay Guida dominated Erik Koch on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 9:53 of control time, 33 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Clay Guida demonstrated extended layoff with 386 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Clay Guida capitalized on this activity level, while Erik Koch's 392-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Clay Guida started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Erik Koch is back at 0 with this loss.

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.