December 1, 2023
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Clay Guida | Joaquim Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 36 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | 26 | -26 |
| Experience ELO | 1 025 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +91 |
Joaquim Silva overcame a 26-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 36 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Clay Guida.
| Metric | Clay Guida | Joaquim Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 007 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Clay Guida | Joaquim Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 134 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
Joaquim Silva earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Clay Guida | Joaquim Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 43 | 46 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 134 | 91 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 63 | 85 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 037 | 975 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Joaquim Silva edged the striking exchanges with 85 vs 63 total strikes, 50.5% vs 32.1% accuracy. Joaquim Silva capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Clay Guida | Joaquim Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:23 | 2:35 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 128 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -106 | +106 |
Joaquim Silva controlled Clay Guida on the ground with 2 takedowns, 2:35 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Clay Guida | Joaquim Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 232 | 169 |
| Activity ELO | 1 149 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +52 |
Joaquim Silva demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Joaquim Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Clay Guida's 232-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Clay Guida | Joaquim Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 045 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +26 |
Joaquim Silva started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Clay Guida is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Clay Guida | Joaquim Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 007 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

