Clay Guida vs Joaquim Silva

December 1, 2023

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1067
(-40)
Clay Guida
Winner: Joaquim Silva
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Clay Guida-40
Joaquim Silva+51
1067
(+51)
Joaquim Silva

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Guida: -33Joaquim Silva: +91

Performance Statistics

MetricClay GuidaJoaquim Silva
Total UFC Fights3610
Experience Gap26-26
Experience ELO1 0251 129
ELO Change-33+91
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What Happened

Joaquim Silva overcame a 26-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 36 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Clay Guida.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Guida: -22Joaquim Silva: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricClay GuidaJoaquim Silva
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0071 033
ELO Change-22+22
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Guida: -53Joaquim Silva: +53

Performance Statistics

MetricClay GuidaJoaquim Silva
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1341 151
ELO Change-53+53
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What Happened

Joaquim Silva earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Guida: -36Joaquim Silva: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricClay GuidaJoaquim Silva
Significant Strikes Landed4346
Significant Strikes Attempted13491
Total Strikes Landed6385
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 037975
ELO Change-36+36
💡

What Happened

Joaquim Silva edged the striking exchanges with 85 vs 63 total strikes, 50.5% vs 32.1% accuracy. Joaquim Silva capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Guida: -106Joaquim Silva: +106

Performance Statistics

MetricClay GuidaJoaquim Silva
Takedowns Landed22
Takedowns Attempted113
Ground Control Time4:232:35
Ground Strikes Landed03
Ground ELO1 1281 086
ELO Change-106+106
💡

What Happened

Joaquim Silva controlled Clay Guida on the ground with 2 takedowns, 2:35 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Guida: -30Joaquim Silva: +52

Performance Statistics

MetricClay GuidaJoaquim Silva
Days Since Last Fight232169
Activity ELO1 1491 073
ELO Change-30+52
💡

What Happened

Joaquim Silva demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Joaquim Silva capitalized on this activity level, while Clay Guida's 232-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Guida: -24Joaquim Silva: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricClay GuidaJoaquim Silva
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0451 052
ELO Change-24+26
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What Happened

Joaquim Silva started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Clay Guida is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Guida: -22Joaquim Silva: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricClay GuidaJoaquim Silva
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0071 033
ELO Change-22+22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.