Clay Guida vs Justin James

October 13, 2006

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1048
(+48)
Clay Guida
Winner: Clay Guida
Submission
Round 2 • 4:42

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Clay Guida+48
Justin James-45
955
(-45)
Justin James

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Guida: +21Justin James: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricClay GuidaJustin James
Total UFC Fights11
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Guida: +21Justin James: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricClay GuidaJustin James
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Guida: +65Justin James: -42

Performance Statistics

MetricClay GuidaJustin James
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish4:424:42
Win Type ELO1 065958
ELO Change+65-42
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What Happened

Clay Guida earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:42, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Justin James was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Guida: +47Justin James: -47

Performance Statistics

MetricClay GuidaJustin James
Significant Strikes Landed2613
Significant Strikes Attempted5236
Total Strikes Landed9328
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 047953
ELO Change+47-47
💡

What Happened

Clay Guida dominated the striking exchanges with 93 vs 28 total strikes, 26 vs 13 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 36.1% accuracy. Clay Guida capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Guida: +164Justin James: -164

Performance Statistics

MetricClay GuidaJustin James
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted40
Ground Control Time7:320:26
Ground Strikes Landed232
Ground ELO1 164836
ELO Change+164-164
💡

What Happened

Clay Guida dominated Justin James on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 7:32 of control time, 23 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Guida: +21Justin James: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricClay GuidaJustin James
Days Since Last FightN/AN/A
Activity ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Clay Guida demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Clay Guida capitalized on this activity level, while Justin James's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Guida: +23Justin James: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricClay GuidaJustin James
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 023979
ELO Change+23-21
💡

What Happened

Clay Guida started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Justin James is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Guida: +21Justin James: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricClay GuidaJustin James
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.