April 3, 2015
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Clay Guida | Robert Peralta |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 21 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 13 | -13 |
| Experience ELO | 1 125 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Clay Guida's 13-fight experience advantage (21 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Clay Guida for the expected result. Had Robert Peralta pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Clay Guida | Robert Peralta |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 075 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Clay Guida | Robert Peralta |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 224 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Clay Guida earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Clay Guida | Robert Peralta |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 27 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 64 | 84 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 44 | 41 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 154 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Clay Guida slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 42.2% vs 28.6% accuracy. Clay Guida capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Clay Guida | Robert Peralta |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 11:11 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 291 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Clay Guida dominated Robert Peralta on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 11:11 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Clay Guida | Robert Peralta |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 252 | 231 |
| Activity ELO | 1 208 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -14 |
Clay Guida demonstrated standard activity with 252 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Clay Guida capitalized on this activity level, while Robert Peralta's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Clay Guida | Robert Peralta |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 114 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -18 |
Clay Guida started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Robert Peralta is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Clay Guida | Robert Peralta |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 074 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

