Clay Guida vs Robert Peralta

April 3, 2015

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1158
(+25)
Clay Guida
Winner: Clay Guida
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Clay Guida+25
Robert Peralta-24
1026
(-24)
Robert Peralta

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Guida: +29Robert Peralta: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricClay GuidaRobert Peralta
Total UFC Fights218
Experience Gap13-13
Experience ELO1 1251 041
ELO Change+29-29
💡

What Happened

Clay Guida's 13-fight experience advantage (21 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Clay Guida for the expected result. Had Robert Peralta pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Guida: +20Robert Peralta: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricClay GuidaRobert Peralta
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0751 017
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Guida: +33Robert Peralta: -33

Performance Statistics

MetricClay GuidaRobert Peralta
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2241 081
ELO Change+33-33
💡

What Happened

Clay Guida earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Guida: +16Robert Peralta: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricClay GuidaRobert Peralta
Significant Strikes Landed2724
Significant Strikes Attempted6484
Total Strikes Landed4441
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1541 005
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

Clay Guida slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 42.2% vs 28.6% accuracy. Clay Guida capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Guida: +45Robert Peralta: -45

Performance Statistics

MetricClay GuidaRobert Peralta
Takedowns Landed60
Takedowns Attempted110
Ground Control Time11:110:00
Ground Strikes Landed100
Ground ELO1 291961
ELO Change+45-45
💡

What Happened

Clay Guida dominated Robert Peralta on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 11:11 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Guida: +18Robert Peralta: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricClay GuidaRobert Peralta
Days Since Last Fight252231
Activity ELO1 2081 057
ELO Change+18-14
💡

What Happened

Clay Guida demonstrated standard activity with 252 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Clay Guida capitalized on this activity level, while Robert Peralta's 231-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Guida: +20Robert Peralta: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricClay GuidaRobert Peralta
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 1141 029
ELO Change+20-18
💡

What Happened

Clay Guida started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Robert Peralta is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Guida: +20Robert Peralta: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricClay GuidaRobert Peralta
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0741 017
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.