Clay Guida vs Tatsuya Kawajiri

Clay Guida's 17-fight experience advantage (19 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Clay Guida for the expected result. Had Tatsuya Kawajiri pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Clay Guida earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Clay Guida dominated the striking exchanges with 92 vs 36 total strikes, 47 vs 19 significant strikes, 69.1% vs 37.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Clay Guida capitalized on this striking dominance.

Clay Guida dominated Tatsuya Kawajiri on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 8:58 of control time, 18 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Clay Guida demonstrated standard activity with 223 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Clay Guida capitalized on this activity level, while Tatsuya Kawajiri's 97-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Clay Guida started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tatsuya Kawajiri is back at 0 with this loss.

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.