November 11, 2011
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Clay Harvison | DaMarques Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 967 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
DaMarques Johnson's 4-fight experience advantage (7 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding DaMarques Johnson for the expected result. Had Clay Harvison pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Clay Harvison | DaMarques Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 976 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Clay Harvison | DaMarques Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:34 | 1:34 |
| Win Type ELO | 935 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +68 |
DaMarques Johnson earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:34, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Clay Harvison | DaMarques Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 21 | 20 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 6 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 859 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -76 | +76 |
DaMarques Johnson controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. DaMarques Johnson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Clay Harvison | DaMarques Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 854 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Clay Harvison | DaMarques Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 57 | 231 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +21 |
DaMarques Johnson demonstrated standard activity with 231 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, DaMarques Johnson capitalized on this activity level, while Clay Harvison's 57-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Clay Harvison | DaMarques Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
DaMarques Johnson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Clay Harvison is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Clay Harvison | DaMarques Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 976 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.