Clay Harvison vs Seth Baczynski

September 16, 2011

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

972
(-51)
Clay Harvison
Winner: Seth Baczynski
Submission
Round 2 • 1:12

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Clay Harvison-51
Seth Baczynski+56
1027
(+56)
Seth Baczynski

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Harvison: -24Seth Baczynski: +35

Performance Statistics

MetricClay HarvisonSeth Baczynski
Total UFC Fights22
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO9971 014
ELO Change-24+35
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Harvison: -24Seth Baczynski: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricClay HarvisonSeth Baczynski
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9971 003
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Harvison: -48Seth Baczynski: +75

Performance Statistics

MetricClay HarvisonSeth Baczynski
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:121:12
Win Type ELO9631 033
ELO Change-48+75
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What Happened

Seth Baczynski earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:12, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Clay Harvison was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Harvison: -94Seth Baczynski: +94

Performance Statistics

MetricClay HarvisonSeth Baczynski
Significant Strikes Landed1241
Significant Strikes Attempted27107
Total Strikes Landed1845
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9351 071
ELO Change-94+94
💡

What Happened

Seth Baczynski controlled the striking exchanges with 45 vs 18 total strikes, 41 vs 12 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Seth Baczynski capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Harvison: -147Seth Baczynski: +147

Performance Statistics

MetricClay HarvisonSeth Baczynski
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time0:002:32
Ground Strikes Landed08
Ground ELO8871 084
ELO Change-147+147
💡

What Happened

Seth Baczynski dominated Clay Harvison on the ground with 2:32 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Harvison: -24Seth Baczynski: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricClay HarvisonSeth Baczynski
Days Since Last Fight105455
Activity ELO9971 000
ELO Change-24+21
💡

What Happened

Seth Baczynski demonstrated extended layoff with 455 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Seth Baczynski capitalized on this activity level, while Clay Harvison's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Harvison: -24Seth Baczynski: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricClay HarvisonSeth Baczynski
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9991 005
ELO Change-24+26
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What Happened

Seth Baczynski started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Clay Harvison is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Clay Harvison: -24Seth Baczynski: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricClay HarvisonSeth Baczynski
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9971 003
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.