February 3, 2012
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Clifford Starks | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 992 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Ed Herman's 10-fight experience advantage (12 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Ed Herman for the expected result. Had Clifford Starks pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Clifford Starks | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Clifford Starks | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:43 | 1:43 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 026 | 1 315 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +25 |
Ed Herman earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:43, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Clifford Starks was submitted.
| Metric | Clifford Starks | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 36 | 57 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 35 | 53 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 017 | 1 200 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Ed Herman edged the striking exchanges with 28 vs 16 significant strikes. Ed Herman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Clifford Starks | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:59 | 1:23 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 037 | 1 239 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Ed Herman controlled Clifford Starks on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 1:23 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Clifford Starks | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 99 | 175 |
| Activity ELO | 1 007 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +25 |
Ed Herman demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Ed Herman capitalized on this activity level, while Clifford Starks's 99-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Clifford Starks | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 004 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +25 |
Ed Herman extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Clifford Starks is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Clifford Starks | Ed Herman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

