December 16, 2022
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cody Brundage | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 019 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Michal Oleksiejczuk's 6-fight experience advantage (10 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Michal Oleksiejczuk for the expected result. Had Cody Brundage pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Cody Brundage | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cody Brundage | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:16 | 3:16 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 085 | 1 302 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +58 |
Michal Oleksiejczuk earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:16, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Cody Brundage | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 2 | 29 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 25 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 006 | 1 324 |
| ELO Change | -87 | +87 |
Michal Oleksiejczuk controlled the striking exchanges with 25 vs 1 total strikes, 15 vs 0 significant strikes, 51.7% vs 0.0% accuracy. Michal Oleksiejczuk capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cody Brundage | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:53 | 1:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 15 |
| Ground ELO | 1 031 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Michal Oleksiejczuk did not secure a significant ground advantage against Cody Brundage on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:12 of control time, 15 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Cody Brundage | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 134 |
| Activity ELO | 1 048 | 1 183 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +32 |
Michal Oleksiejczuk demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Michal Oleksiejczuk capitalized on this activity level, while Cody Brundage's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cody Brundage | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 008 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Michal Oleksiejczuk extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cody Brundage is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cody Brundage | Michal Oleksiejczuk |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.