April 28, 2023
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cody Brundage | Rodolfo Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 991 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Cody Brundage | Rodolfo Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cody Brundage | Rodolfo Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:28 | 1:28 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 044 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +63 |
Rodolfo Vieira earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:28, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Cody Brundage was submitted.
| Metric | Cody Brundage | Rodolfo Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 29 | 15 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 41 | 30 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 983 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Cody Brundage controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (20 vs 10), 1 knockdown. However, since Cody Brundage lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Rodolfo Vieira's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Cody Brundage | Rodolfo Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:04 | 4:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 984 | 1 192 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Rodolfo Vieira controlled Cody Brundage on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 4:19 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Cody Brundage | Rodolfo Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 308 |
| Activity ELO | 1 027 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Rodolfo Vieira demonstrated standard activity with 308 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Rodolfo Vieira capitalized on this activity level, while Cody Brundage's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cody Brundage | Rodolfo Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 988 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Rodolfo Vieira started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cody Brundage is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cody Brundage | Rodolfo Vieira |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.