November 15, 2013
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cody Donovan | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 999 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +39 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Cody Donovan | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 977 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cody Donovan | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:22 | 1:22 |
| Win Type ELO | 984 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +98 |
Gian Villante gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Cody Donovan | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 51 | 43 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 90 | 82 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 55 | 57 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 915 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -95 | +95 |
Gian Villante controlled the striking exchanges with 43 vs 51 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Gian Villante capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cody Donovan | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:16 | 0:53 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 924 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -61 | +61 |
Gian Villante landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Cody Donovan | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 92 | 204 |
| Activity ELO | 977 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +28 |
Gian Villante demonstrated standard activity with 204 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Gian Villante capitalized on this activity level, while Cody Donovan's 92-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cody Donovan | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +25 |
Gian Villante started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cody Donovan is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cody Donovan | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 977 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.