December 13, 2012
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cody Donovan | Nick Penner |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 059 | 910 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -59 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Cody Donovan | Nick Penner |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cody Donovan | Nick Penner |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:35 | 4:35 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 082 | 930 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -38 |
Cody Donovan earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:35, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Cody Donovan | Nick Penner |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 27 | 18 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 31 | 23 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 067 | 810 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -67 |
Cody Donovan controlled the striking exchanges with 19 vs 7 significant strikes, 70.4% vs 38.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Cody Donovan capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cody Donovan | Nick Penner |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:59 | 1:48 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 041 | 898 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Cody Donovan landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Cody Donovan | Nick Penner |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 287 |
| Activity ELO | 1 020 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Cody Donovan demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Cody Donovan capitalized on this activity level, while Nick Penner's 287-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cody Donovan | Nick Penner |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Cody Donovan started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nick Penner is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cody Donovan | Nick Penner |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 958 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.