June 24, 2022
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cody Durden | JP Buys |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 948 | 904 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Cody Durden's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cody Durden for the expected result. Had JP Buys pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Cody Durden | JP Buys |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 002 | 940 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cody Durden | JP Buys |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:08 | 1:08 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 058 | 894 |
| ELO Change | +91 | -38 |
Cody Durden earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:08, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Cody Durden | JP Buys |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 30 | 11 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 34 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 005 | 709 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -71 |
Cody Durden controlled the striking exchanges with 34 vs 7 total strikes, 23 vs 7 significant strikes, 76.7% vs 63.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Cody Durden capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cody Durden | JP Buys |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:26 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 14 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 018 | 846 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Cody Durden landed 1 knockdown followed by 14 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Cody Durden | JP Buys |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 280 |
| Activity ELO | 1 033 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -20 |
Cody Durden demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Cody Durden capitalized on this activity level, while JP Buys's 280-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cody Durden | JP Buys |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 006 | 941 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Cody Durden started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. JP Buys is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cody Durden | JP Buys |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 940 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.