August 4, 2023
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cody Durden | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 051 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Cody Durden's 4-fight experience advantage (8 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cody Durden for the expected result. Had Jake Hadley pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Cody Durden | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 062 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cody Durden | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 176 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Cody Durden earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Cody Durden | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 85 | 83 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 63 | 45 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 097 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Cody Durden edged the striking exchanges with 38 vs 26 significant strikes, 44.7% vs 31.3% accuracy. Cody Durden capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cody Durden | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:25 | 2:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 219 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Cody Durden dominated Jake Hadley on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 7:25 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Cody Durden | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 145 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +46 | -18 |
Cody Durden demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Cody Durden capitalized on this activity level, while Jake Hadley's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cody Durden | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 083 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -19 |
Cody Durden extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jake Hadley is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cody Durden | Jake Hadley |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 062 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.