December 7, 2024
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cody Durden | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 004 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +37 |
Joshua Van overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Cody Durden.
| Metric | Cody Durden | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 017 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cody Durden | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 109 | 1 161 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +47 |
Joshua Van earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Cody Durden | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 70 | 165 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 217 | 304 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 74 | 184 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 937 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Joshua Van dominated the striking exchanges with 184 vs 74 total strikes, 165 vs 70 significant strikes, 54.3% vs 32.3% accuracy. Joshua Van capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cody Durden | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:14 | 0:20 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 090 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Joshua Van did not secure a significant ground advantage against Cody Durden on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:20 of control time, 2 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Cody Durden | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 92 | 85 |
| Activity ELO | 1 183 | 1 215 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +75 |
Joshua Van demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 85 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Joshua Van capitalized on this activity level, while Cody Durden's 92-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cody Durden | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 040 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Joshua Van extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cody Durden is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cody Durden | Joshua Van |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 017 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.