March 18, 2022
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cody Durden | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 915 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -65 | +65 |
Muhammad Mokaev overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Cody Durden.
| Metric | Cody Durden | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 982 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cody Durden | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:58 | 0:58 |
| Win Type ELO | 967 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +93 |
Muhammad Mokaev locked in a lightning-fast Submission in 0:58 of round 1. This explosive first-minute submission earned substantial bonus rewards.
| Metric | Cody Durden | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 5 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 934 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | -73 | +73 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 3 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Cody Durden | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 978 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Cody Durden | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 984 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Muhammad Mokaev demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Muhammad Mokaev capitalized on this activity level, while Cody Durden's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cody Durden | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 984 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Muhammad Mokaev started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cody Durden is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cody Durden | Muhammad Mokaev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 982 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.