December 15, 2023
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cody Durden | Tagir Ulanbekov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 022 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +37 |
Tagir Ulanbekov overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Cody Durden.
| Metric | Cody Durden | Tagir Ulanbekov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 039 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cody Durden | Tagir Ulanbekov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:25 | 4:25 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 125 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +78 |
Tagir Ulanbekov earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:25, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Cody Durden was submitted.
| Metric | Cody Durden | Tagir Ulanbekov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 32 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 43 | 41 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 55 | 45 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 033 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -64 | +64 |
Cody Durden controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (32 vs 24), superior accuracy (74.4% vs 58.5%). However, since Cody Durden lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Tagir Ulanbekov's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Cody Durden | Tagir Ulanbekov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:36 | 6:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 113 | 1 262 |
| ELO Change | -106 | +106 |
Tagir Ulanbekov dominated Cody Durden on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 6:03 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Cody Durden | Tagir Ulanbekov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 134 | 406 |
| Activity ELO | 1 118 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +24 |
Tagir Ulanbekov demonstrated extended layoff with 406 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Tagir Ulanbekov capitalized on this activity level, while Cody Durden's 134-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cody Durden | Tagir Ulanbekov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 060 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +28 |
Tagir Ulanbekov extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cody Durden is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cody Durden | Tagir Ulanbekov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 039 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.