December 29, 2016
UFC Bantamweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Dominick Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 237 | 1 226 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -24 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Dominick Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 195 | 1 238 |
| ELO Change | +91 | -30 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Cody Garbrandt captured the UFC Bantamweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Dominick Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 394 | 1 250 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Cody Garbrandt earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Dominick Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 68 | 88 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 195 | 291 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 71 | 95 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 448 | 1 268 |
| ELO Change | +78 | -78 |
Dominick Cruz controlled the striking through superior volume (95 vs 71 total strikes), significant strike advantage (88 vs 68). However, since Dominick Cruz lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Cody Garbrandt's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Dominick Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:39 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 278 | 1 359 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Cody Garbrandt did not secure a significant ground advantage against Dominick Cruz on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:39 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Dominick Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 210 |
| Activity ELO | 1 248 | 1 170 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -20 |
Cody Garbrandt demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Cody Garbrandt capitalized on this activity level, while Dominick Cruz's 210-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Dominick Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 6 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 198 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -22 |
Cody Garbrandt continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Dominick Cruz's now at 0.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Dominick Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 126 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.

