December 10, 2021
Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 126 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +47 |
Kai Kara-France overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Cody Garbrandt.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 108 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:21 | 3:21 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 278 | 1 259 |
| ELO Change | -66 | +142 |
Kai Kara-France earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:21, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 17 | 41 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 9 | 23 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 1 070 | 1 305 |
| ELO Change | -209 | +209 |
Kai Kara-France dominated the striking exchanges with 23 vs 9 significant strikes, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Kai Kara-France capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:06 | 0:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 115 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -76 | +76 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 204 | 280 |
| Activity ELO | 1 168 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Kai Kara-France demonstrated standard activity with 280 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Kai Kara-France capitalized on this activity level, while Cody Garbrandt's 204-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 114 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +31 |
Kai Kara-France extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cody Garbrandt is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Kai Kara-France |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 050 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.