March 1, 2019
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 145 | 1 181 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Pedro Munhoz's 3-fight experience advantage (12 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Pedro Munhoz for the expected result. Had Cody Garbrandt pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 138 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:52 | 4:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 308 | 1 468 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +79 |
Pedro Munhoz earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:52, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 60 | 47 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 21 | 28 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 207 | 1 384 |
| ELO Change | -93 | +93 |
Pedro Munhoz controlled the striking exchanges with 53.2% vs 35.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Pedro Munhoz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 0:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 200 | 1 368 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Pedro Munhoz landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 211 | 92 |
| Activity ELO | 1 195 | 1 260 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +54 |
Pedro Munhoz demonstrated solid activity levels with 92 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Pedro Munhoz capitalized on this activity level, while Cody Garbrandt's 211-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 136 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +30 |
Pedro Munhoz extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cody Garbrandt is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Pedro Munhoz |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 068 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.