June 14, 2025
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Raoni Barcelos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 109 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +46 |
Raoni Barcelos overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (13 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Cody Garbrandt.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Raoni Barcelos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 097 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Raoni Barcelos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 260 | 1 264 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Raoni Barcelos earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Raoni Barcelos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 37 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 94 | 85 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 45 | 43 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 114 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Raoni Barcelos edged the striking exchanges with 37 vs 28 significant strikes, 43.5% vs 29.8% accuracy. Raoni Barcelos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Raoni Barcelos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 11 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:46 | 2:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 073 | 1 315 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
Raoni Barcelos slightly outworked Cody Garbrandt on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:26 of control time, earning modest grappling bonuses.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Raoni Barcelos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 428 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 155 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +52 |
Raoni Barcelos demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Raoni Barcelos capitalized on this activity level, while Cody Garbrandt's 428-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Raoni Barcelos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 107 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +30 |
Raoni Barcelos extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cody Garbrandt is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Raoni Barcelos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 046 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.