June 5, 2020
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Raphael Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 192 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -34 |
Cody Garbrandt overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Raphael Assuncao.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Raphael Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 158 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Raphael Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:59 | 4:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 384 | 1 232 |
| ELO Change | +76 | -37 |
Cody Garbrandt gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Raphael Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 43 | 52 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 20 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 313 | 1 174 |
| ELO Change | +106 | -106 |
Cody Garbrandt controlled the striking exchanges with 44.2% vs 32.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Cody Garbrandt capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Raphael Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 220 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Raphael Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 462 | 294 |
| Activity ELO | 1 215 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -23 |
Cody Garbrandt demonstrated extended layoff with 462 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Cody Garbrandt capitalized on this activity level, while Raphael Assuncao's 294-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Raphael Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 162 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Cody Garbrandt started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Raphael Assuncao is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Raphael Assuncao |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 092 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.