November 3, 2017
UFC Bantamweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 14 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 205 | 1 264 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
TJ Dillashaw's 7-fight experience advantage (14 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding TJ Dillashaw for the expected result. Had Cody Garbrandt pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 177 | 1 300 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +54 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. TJ Dillashaw captured the UFC Bantamweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:41 | 2:41 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 365 | 1 566 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +59 |
TJ Dillashaw gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 53 | 81 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 19 | 23 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 1 352 | 1 613 |
| ELO Change | -96 | +96 |
TJ Dillashaw dominated the striking exchanges with 24.7% vs 34.0% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. TJ Dillashaw capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 0:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 255 | 1 494 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
TJ Dillashaw landed 2 knockdowns followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 309 | 309 |
| Activity ELO | 1 232 | 1 343 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
TJ Dillashaw demonstrated standard activity with 309 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, TJ Dillashaw capitalized on this activity level, while Cody Garbrandt's 309-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 177 | 1 228 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +27 |
TJ Dillashaw extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cody Garbrandt is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | TJ Dillashaw |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 106 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.