March 3, 2023
Bantamweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Trevin Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 138 | 870 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
Cody Garbrandt's 7-fight experience advantage (13 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cody Garbrandt for the expected result. Had Trevin Jones pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Trevin Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 121 | 950 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Trevin Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 291 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
Cody Garbrandt earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Trevin Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 33 | 69 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 33 | 30 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 088 | 936 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Cody Garbrandt slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 26 vs 20 significant strikes, 78.8% vs 29.0% accuracy. Cody Garbrandt capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Trevin Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:32 | 1:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 133 | 908 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Cody Garbrandt edged out Trevin Jones on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 2:32 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Trevin Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 448 | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 1 177 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -10 |
Cody Garbrandt demonstrated extended layoff with 448 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Cody Garbrandt capitalized on this activity level, while Trevin Jones's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Trevin Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 128 | 952 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -13 |
Cody Garbrandt started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Trevin Jones is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cody Garbrandt | Trevin Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 066 | 947 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.