Cody Garbrandt vs Xiao Long

March 7, 2026

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1142
(+17)
Cody Garbrandt
Winner: Cody Garbrandt
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

C-ELO Evolution

Cody Garbrandt+17
Xiao Long-16
987
(-16)
Xiao Long

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Cody Garbrandt: +21Xiao Long: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricCody GarbrandtXiao Long
Total UFC Fights174
Experience Gap13-13
Experience ELO1 130971
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

Cody Garbrandt's 13-fight experience advantage (17 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cody Garbrandt for the expected result. Had Xiao Long pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Cody Garbrandt: +14Xiao Long: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricCody GarbrandtXiao Long
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 111967
ELO Change+14-14
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Cody Garbrandt: +18Xiao Long: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricCody GarbrandtXiao Long
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2781 014
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

Cody Garbrandt earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Cody Garbrandt: +17Xiao Long: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricCody GarbrandtXiao Long
Significant Strikes Landed2859
Significant Strikes Attempted54108
Total Strikes Landed2870
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1311 032
ELO Change+17-17
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What Happened

Xiao Long controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (70 vs 28 total strikes), significant strike advantage (59 vs 28). However, since Xiao Long lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Cody Garbrandt's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Cody Garbrandt: +17Xiao Long: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricCody GarbrandtXiao Long
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted82
Ground Control Time0:530:47
Ground Strikes Landed05
Ground ELO1 090990
ELO Change+17-17
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What Happened

Cody Garbrandt did not secure a significant ground advantage against Xiao Long on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:53 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Cody Garbrandt: +15Xiao Long: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricCody GarbrandtXiao Long
Days Since Last Fight266196
Activity ELO1 170987
ELO Change+15-12
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What Happened

Cody Garbrandt demonstrated standard activity with 266 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Cody Garbrandt capitalized on this activity level, while Xiao Long's 196-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Cody Garbrandt: +15Xiao Long: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricCody GarbrandtXiao Long
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 122971
ELO Change+15-14
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What Happened

Cody Garbrandt started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Xiao Long is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Cody Garbrandt: +17Xiao Long: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricCody GarbrandtXiao Long
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 063964
ELO Change+17-17
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

Extra Bonuses
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Why It Matters:

Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.

Cody Garbrandt

Title Victory Bonus For This Fight: +0
Total Title Victories So Far:1
Total Title Victory Bonus So Far:5