December 13, 2013
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cody McKenzie | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 17 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 959 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Sam Stout's 10-fight experience advantage (17 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Sam Stout for the expected result. Had Cody McKenzie pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Cody McKenzie | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cody McKenzie | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 008 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +37 |
Sam Stout earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Cody McKenzie | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 31 | 54 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 90 | 189 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 37 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 892 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Sam Stout controlled the striking exchanges with 59 vs 37 total strikes, 54 vs 31 significant strikes. Sam Stout capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cody McKenzie | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 13 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:44 | 0:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 899 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Sam Stout edged out Cody McKenzie on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:45 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Cody McKenzie | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 232 | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 996 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +19 |
Sam Stout demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Sam Stout capitalized on this activity level, while Cody McKenzie's 232-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cody McKenzie | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 988 | 1 055 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Sam Stout started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cody McKenzie is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cody McKenzie | Sam Stout |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.