January 21, 2011
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cody McKenzie | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 989 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Yves Edwards's 10-fight experience advantage (12 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Yves Edwards for the expected result. Had Cody McKenzie pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Cody McKenzie | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 002 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cody McKenzie | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:33 | 4:33 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 045 | 1 233 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +44 |
Yves Edwards earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:33, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Cody McKenzie was submitted.
| Metric | Cody McKenzie | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 72 | 75 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 55 | 41 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 043 | 1 264 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Yves Edwards controlled the striking exchanges with 33 vs 16 significant strikes, 44.0% vs 22.2% accuracy. Yves Edwards capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cody McKenzie | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:52 | 2:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 015 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Yves Edwards edged out Cody McKenzie on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:01 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Cody McKenzie | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 49 | 130 |
| Activity ELO | 1 008 | 1 189 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +26 |
Yves Edwards demonstrated solid activity levels with 130 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Yves Edwards capitalized on this activity level, while Cody McKenzie's 49-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cody McKenzie | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 007 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +19 |
Yves Edwards extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cody McKenzie is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cody McKenzie | Yves Edwards |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

