Cody Pfister vs Sage Northcutt

December 9, 2015

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

971
(-26)
Cody Pfister
Winner: Sage Northcutt
Submission
Round 2 • 0:41

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Cody Pfister-26
Sage Northcutt+34
1094
(+34)
Sage Northcutt

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Cody Pfister: -25Sage Northcutt: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricCody PfisterSage Northcutt
Total UFC Fights32
Experience Gap1-1
Experience ELO9791 102
ELO Change-25+27
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Cody Pfister: -20Sage Northcutt: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricCody PfisterSage Northcutt
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 041
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Cody Pfister: -29Sage Northcutt: +44

Performance Statistics

MetricCody PfisterSage Northcutt
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish0:410:41
Win Type ELO9721 159
ELO Change-29+44
💡

What Happened

Sage Northcutt earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 0:41, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Cody Pfister was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Cody Pfister: -14Sage Northcutt: +14

Performance Statistics

MetricCody PfisterSage Northcutt
Significant Strikes Landed58
Significant Strikes Attempted89
Total Strikes Landed4019
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9541 160
ELO Change-14+14
💡

What Happened

Cody Pfister controlled the striking through superior volume (40 vs 19 total strikes), superior accuracy (62.5% vs 88.9%). However, since Cody Pfister lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Sage Northcutt's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Cody Pfister: -62Sage Northcutt: +62

Performance Statistics

MetricCody PfisterSage Northcutt
Takedowns Landed22
Takedowns Attempted22
Ground Control Time3:161:56
Ground Strikes Landed46
Ground ELO9221 119
ELO Change-62+62
💡

What Happened

Sage Northcutt controlled Cody Pfister on the ground with 2 takedowns, 1:56 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Cody Pfister: -21Sage Northcutt: +63

Performance Statistics

MetricCody PfisterSage Northcutt
Days Since Last Fight15369
Activity ELO1 0021 084
ELO Change-21+63
💡

What Happened

Sage Northcutt demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 69 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Sage Northcutt capitalized on this activity level, while Cody Pfister's 153-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Cody Pfister: -20Sage Northcutt: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricCody PfisterSage Northcutt
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO9811 047
ELO Change-20+24
💡

What Happened

Sage Northcutt extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cody Pfister is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Cody Pfister: -20Sage Northcutt: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricCody PfisterSage Northcutt
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 041
ELO Change-20+20
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.