July 12, 2016
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cody Pfister | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 951 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Cody Pfister | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 959 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cody Pfister | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 934 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Scott Holtzman earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Cody Pfister | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 53 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 93 | 99 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 55 | 120 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 893 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -61 | +61 |
Scott Holtzman dominated the striking exchanges with 120 vs 55 total strikes, 53 vs 28 significant strikes, 53.5% vs 30.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Scott Holtzman capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cody Pfister | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:32 | 6:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 874 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Scott Holtzman landed 1 knockdown followed by 12 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Cody Pfister | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 216 | 193 |
| Activity ELO | 981 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +27 |
Scott Holtzman demonstrated standard activity with 193 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Scott Holtzman capitalized on this activity level, while Cody Pfister's 216-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cody Pfister | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 961 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Scott Holtzman started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cody Pfister is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cody Pfister | Scott Holtzman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 959 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.