October 27, 2017
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Colby Covington | Demian Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 27 |
| Experience Gap | -18 | 18 |
| Experience ELO | 1 336 | 1 275 |
| ELO Change | +81 | -37 |
Colby Covington overcame a 18-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 27 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Demian Maia.
| Metric | Colby Covington | Demian Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 147 | 1 174 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Colby Covington | Demian Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 386 | 1 481 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -66 |
Colby Covington earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Colby Covington | Demian Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 88 | 53 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 317 | 151 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 121 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 376 | 1 443 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -56 |
Colby Covington dominated the striking exchanges with 121 vs 59 total strikes, 88 vs 53 significant strikes. Colby Covington capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Colby Covington | Demian Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 13 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:44 | 0:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 557 | 1 564 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -82 |
Colby Covington controlled Demian Maia on the ground with 1:44 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Colby Covington | Demian Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 91 |
| Activity ELO | 1 286 | 1 408 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -33 |
Colby Covington demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Colby Covington capitalized on this activity level, while Demian Maia's 91-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Colby Covington | Demian Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 213 | 1 278 |
| ELO Change | +56 | -30 |
Colby Covington continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Demian Maia's now at 0.
| Metric | Colby Covington | Demian Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 146 | 1 165 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.