Colby Covington vs Jonathan Meunier

June 17, 2016

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1142
(+30)
Colby Covington
Winner: Colby Covington
Submission
Round 3 • 0:54

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Colby Covington+30
Jonathan Meunier-28
972
(-28)
Jonathan Meunier

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Covington: +20Jonathan Meunier: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricColby CovingtonJonathan Meunier
Total UFC Fights51
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO1 150980
ELO Change+20-20
💡

What Happened

Colby Covington's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Colby Covington for the expected result. Had Jonathan Meunier pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Covington: +18Jonathan Meunier: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricColby CovingtonJonathan Meunier
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 060982
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Covington: +38Jonathan Meunier: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricColby CovingtonJonathan Meunier
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round33
Time of Finish0:540:54
Win Type ELO1 187975
ELO Change+38-25
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What Happened

Colby Covington earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 0:54, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Jonathan Meunier was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Covington: +34Jonathan Meunier: -34

Performance Statistics

MetricColby CovingtonJonathan Meunier
Significant Strikes Landed1916
Significant Strikes Attempted3423
Total Strikes Landed7840
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 211966
ELO Change+34-34
💡

What Happened

Colby Covington controlled the striking exchanges with 78 vs 40 total strikes, 55.9% vs 69.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Colby Covington capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Covington: +73Jonathan Meunier: -73

Performance Statistics

MetricColby CovingtonJonathan Meunier
Takedowns Landed50
Takedowns Attempted90
Ground Control Time9:090:00
Ground Strikes Landed1610
Ground ELO1 281927
ELO Change+73-73
💡

What Happened

Colby Covington dominated Jonathan Meunier on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 9:09 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Covington: +20Jonathan Meunier: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricColby CovingtonJonathan Meunier
Days Since Last Fight189N/A
Activity ELO1 109984
ELO Change+20-16
💡

What Happened

Colby Covington demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Colby Covington capitalized on this activity level, while Jonathan Meunier's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Covington: +19Jonathan Meunier: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricColby CovingtonJonathan Meunier
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 077982
ELO Change+19-18
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What Happened

Colby Covington started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jonathan Meunier is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Covington: +18Jonathan Meunier: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricColby CovingtonJonathan Meunier
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 060982
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.