March 4, 2022
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Colby Covington | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 21 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 426 | 1 257 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -21 |
Colby Covington overcame a 6-fight experience disadvantage (15 vs 21 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jorge Masvidal.
| Metric | Colby Covington | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 216 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Colby Covington | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 577 | 1 483 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Colby Covington earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Colby Covington | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 94 | 67 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 201 | 140 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 218 | 90 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 523 | 1 485 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Colby Covington dominated the striking exchanges with 218 vs 90 total strikes, 94 vs 67 significant strikes. Colby Covington capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Colby Covington | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 15 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 16:14 | 0:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 25 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 666 | 1 343 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
Colby Covington dominated Jorge Masvidal on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 16:14 of control time, 25 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Colby Covington | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 316 |
| Activity ELO | 1 408 | 1 403 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -26 |
Colby Covington demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Colby Covington capitalized on this activity level, while Jorge Masvidal's 316-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Colby Covington | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 336 | 1 178 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -13 |
Colby Covington started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jorge Masvidal is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Colby Covington | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 188 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.