Colby Covington vs Max Griffin

August 19, 2016

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1171
(+29)
Colby Covington
Winner: Colby Covington
KO/TKO
Round 3 • 2:18

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Colby Covington+29
Max Griffin-22
978
(-22)
Max Griffin

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Covington: +19Max Griffin: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricColby CovingtonMax Griffin
Total UFC Fights61
Experience Gap5-5
Experience ELO1 169981
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

Colby Covington's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Colby Covington for the expected result. Had Max Griffin pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Covington: +17Max Griffin: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricColby CovingtonMax Griffin
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 077983
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Covington: +43Max Griffin: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricColby CovingtonMax Griffin
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round33
Time of Finish2:182:18
Win Type ELO1 230979
ELO Change+43-21
💡

What Happened

Colby Covington gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Covington: +38Max Griffin: -38

Performance Statistics

MetricColby CovingtonMax Griffin
Significant Strikes Landed2613
Significant Strikes Attempted4635
Total Strikes Landed16133
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 249962
ELO Change+38-38
💡

What Happened

Colby Covington dominated the striking exchanges with 161 vs 33 total strikes, 26 vs 13 significant strikes, 56.5% vs 37.1% accuracy. Colby Covington capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Covington: +37Max Griffin: -37

Performance Statistics

MetricColby CovingtonMax Griffin
Takedowns Landed60
Takedowns Attempted90
Ground Control Time10:100:07
Ground Strikes Landed111
Ground ELO1 318963
ELO Change+37-37
💡

What Happened

Colby Covington dominated Max Griffin on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 10:10 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Covington: +44Max Griffin: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricColby CovingtonMax Griffin
Days Since Last Fight63N/A
Activity ELO1 153985
ELO Change+44-15
💡

What Happened

Colby Covington demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 63 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Colby Covington capitalized on this activity level, while Max Griffin's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Covington: +20Max Griffin: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricColby CovingtonMax Griffin
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 097984
ELO Change+20-16
💡

What Happened

Colby Covington extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Max Griffin is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Covington: +17Max Griffin: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricColby CovingtonMax Griffin
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 077983
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.