May 22, 2015
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Colby Covington | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -12 | 12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 155 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -35 |
Colby Covington overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Mike Pyle.
| Metric | Colby Covington | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 063 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Colby Covington | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 193 | 1 210 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
Colby Covington earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Colby Covington | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 51 | 26 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 95 | 33 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 203 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Colby Covington dominated the striking exchanges with 95 vs 33 total strikes, 26 vs 16 significant strikes, 51.0% vs 61.5% accuracy. Colby Covington capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Colby Covington | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 11:23 | 0:42 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 16 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 238 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -67 |
Colby Covington controlled Mike Pyle on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 11:23 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Colby Covington | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 196 | 273 |
| Activity ELO | 1 112 | 1 172 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -28 |
Colby Covington demonstrated standard activity with 196 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Colby Covington capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Pyle's 273-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Colby Covington | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 079 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -25 |
Colby Covington extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Pyle is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Colby Covington | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 063 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.