June 8, 2018
UFC Interim Welterweight Title Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Colby Covington | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 25 |
| Experience Gap | -15 | 15 |
| Experience ELO | 1 399 | 1 304 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -31 |
Colby Covington overcame a 15-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 25 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Rafael Dos Anjos.
| Metric | Colby Covington | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 176 | 1 251 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Colby Covington | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 451 | 1 533 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -65 |
Colby Covington earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Colby Covington | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 99 | 105 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 296 | 198 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 142 | 130 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 406 | 1 466 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Rafael Dos Anjos controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (105 vs 99), superior accuracy (53.0% vs 33.4%). However, since Rafael Dos Anjos lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Colby Covington's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Colby Covington | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 7 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 18 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 12:37 | 2:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 648 | 1 495 |
| ELO Change | +91 | -91 |
Colby Covington dominated Rafael Dos Anjos on the ground with 7 vs 3 takedowns, 12:37 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Colby Covington | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 224 | 175 |
| Activity ELO | 1 329 | 1 510 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -34 |
Colby Covington demonstrated standard activity with 224 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Colby Covington capitalized on this activity level, while Rafael Dos Anjos's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Colby Covington | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 6 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 276 | 1 278 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -26 |
Colby Covington continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Rafael Dos Anjos's now at 0.
| Metric | Colby Covington | Rafael Dos Anjos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 170 | 1 178 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.