Colby Covington vs Wagner Silva

November 7, 2014

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1098
(+36)
Colby Covington
Winner: Colby Covington
Submission
Round 3 • 3:26

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Colby Covington+36
Wagner Silva-28
927
(-28)
Wagner Silva

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Covington: +24Wagner Silva: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricColby CovingtonWagner Silva
Total UFC Fights22
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 093963
ELO Change+24-16
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Covington: +18Wagner Silva: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricColby CovingtonWagner Silva
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 040961
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Covington: +39Wagner Silva: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricColby CovingtonWagner Silva
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round33
Time of Finish3:263:26
Win Type ELO1 136932
ELO Change+39-26
💡

What Happened

Colby Covington earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 3:26, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Wagner Silva was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Covington: +16Wagner Silva: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricColby CovingtonWagner Silva
Significant Strikes Landed2316
Significant Strikes Attempted6259
Total Strikes Landed9723
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 179880
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

Colby Covington dominated the striking exchanges with 97 vs 23 total strikes, 23 vs 16 significant strikes, 37.1% vs 27.1% accuracy. Colby Covington capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Covington: +93Wagner Silva: -93

Performance Statistics

MetricColby CovingtonWagner Silva
Takedowns Landed50
Takedowns Attempted120
Ground Control Time8:230:02
Ground Strikes Landed51
Ground ELO1 171797
ELO Change+93-93
💡

What Happened

Colby Covington dominated Wagner Silva on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 8:23 of control time, 5 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Covington: +55Wagner Silva: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricColby CovingtonWagner Silva
Days Since Last Fight78162
Activity ELO1 077961
ELO Change+55-18
💡

What Happened

Colby Covington demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 78 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Colby Covington capitalized on this activity level, while Wagner Silva's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Covington: +22Wagner Silva: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricColby CovingtonWagner Silva
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 047961
ELO Change+22-18
💡

What Happened

Colby Covington extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Wagner Silva is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Covington: +18Wagner Silva: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricColby CovingtonWagner Silva
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 040961
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.