Colby Thicknesse vs Josias Musasa

September 27, 2025

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1004
(+35)
Colby Thicknesse
Winner: Colby Thicknesse
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

C-ELO Evolution

Colby Thicknesse+35
Josias Musasa-33
932
(-33)
Josias Musasa

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Thicknesse: +30Josias Musasa: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricColby ThicknesseJosias Musasa
Total UFC Fights22
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 009946
ELO Change+30-20
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Thicknesse: +21Josias Musasa: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricColby ThicknesseJosias Musasa
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 000957
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Thicknesse: +42Josias Musasa: -42

Performance Statistics

MetricColby ThicknesseJosias Musasa
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 000913
ELO Change+42-42
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What Happened

Colby Thicknesse earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Thicknesse: +32Josias Musasa: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricColby ThicknesseJosias Musasa
Significant Strikes Landed6243
Significant Strikes Attempted11189
Total Strikes Landed12662
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 003904
ELO Change+32-32
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What Happened

Colby Thicknesse dominated the striking exchanges with 126 vs 62 total strikes, 62 vs 43 significant strikes. Colby Thicknesse capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Thicknesse: +84Josias Musasa: -84

Performance Statistics

MetricColby ThicknesseJosias Musasa
Takedowns Landed21
Takedowns Attempted142
Ground Control Time7:450:52
Ground Strikes Landed430
Ground ELO1 015866
ELO Change+84-84
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What Happened

Colby Thicknesse controlled Josias Musasa on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 7:45 of control time, 43 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Thicknesse: +26Josias Musasa: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricColby ThicknesseJosias Musasa
Days Since Last Fight231196
Activity ELO1 005957
ELO Change+26-21
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What Happened

Colby Thicknesse demonstrated standard activity with 231 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Colby Thicknesse capitalized on this activity level, while Josias Musasa's 196-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Thicknesse: +23Josias Musasa: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricColby ThicknesseJosias Musasa
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 002957
ELO Change+23-21
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What Happened

Colby Thicknesse started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josias Musasa is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Colby Thicknesse: +21Josias Musasa: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricColby ThicknesseJosias Musasa
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 000957
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.