September 23, 2011
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cole Escovedo | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 949 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Cole Escovedo | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 959 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cole Escovedo | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:30 | 4:30 |
| Win Type ELO | 918 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +82 |
Takeya Mizugaki gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Cole Escovedo | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 70 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 51 | 129 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 33 | 85 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 832 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | -131 | +131 |
Takeya Mizugaki dominated the striking exchanges with 85 vs 33 total strikes, 70 vs 29 significant strikes, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Takeya Mizugaki capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cole Escovedo | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:40 | 2:35 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 870 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Takeya Mizugaki landed 2 knockdowns followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Cole Escovedo | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 84 |
| Activity ELO | 959 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +59 |
Takeya Mizugaki demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Takeya Mizugaki capitalized on this activity level, while Cole Escovedo's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cole Escovedo | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 959 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Takeya Mizugaki started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cole Escovedo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cole Escovedo | Takeya Mizugaki |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 959 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.