Cole Miller vs Dan Lauzon

January 1, 2010

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1079
(+27)
Cole Miller
Winner: Cole Miller
Submission
Round 1 • 3:05

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Cole Miller+27
Dan Lauzon-23
951
(-23)
Dan Lauzon

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Cole Miller: +24Dan Lauzon: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricCole MillerDan Lauzon
Total UFC Fights72
Experience Gap5-5
Experience ELO1 079945
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

Cole Miller's 5-fight experience advantage (7 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cole Miller for the expected result. Had Dan Lauzon pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Cole Miller: +18Dan Lauzon: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricCole MillerDan Lauzon
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 054963
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Cole Miller: +39Dan Lauzon: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricCole MillerDan Lauzon
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish3:053:05
Win Type ELO1 176950
ELO Change+39-24
💡

What Happened

Cole Miller earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:05, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Cole Miller: +30Dan Lauzon: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricCole MillerDan Lauzon
Significant Strikes Landed1510
Significant Strikes Attempted3424
Total Strikes Landed1813
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO974903
ELO Change+30-30
💡

What Happened

Cole Miller slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 15 vs 10 significant strikes. Cole Miller capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Cole Miller: +31Dan Lauzon: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricCole MillerDan Lauzon
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:060:46
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 103952
ELO Change+31-31
💡

What Happened

Cole Miller edged out Dan Lauzon on the ground with 0 takedowns, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Cole Miller: +37Dan Lauzon: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricCole MillerDan Lauzon
Days Since Last Fight1061 177
Activity ELO1 128970
ELO Change+37-15
💡

What Happened

Cole Miller demonstrated solid activity levels with 106 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Cole Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Dan Lauzon's 1177-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Cole Miller: +19Dan Lauzon: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricCole MillerDan Lauzon
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 065965
ELO Change+19-17
💡

What Happened

Cole Miller started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dan Lauzon is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Cole Miller: +18Dan Lauzon: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricCole MillerDan Lauzon
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 054963
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.