January 1, 2010
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cole Miller | Dan Lauzon |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 079 | 945 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Cole Miller's 5-fight experience advantage (7 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cole Miller for the expected result. Had Dan Lauzon pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Dan Lauzon |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 054 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Dan Lauzon |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:05 | 3:05 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 176 | 950 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -24 |
Cole Miller earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:05, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Dan Lauzon |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 34 | 24 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 18 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 974 | 903 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Cole Miller slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 15 vs 10 significant strikes. Cole Miller capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Dan Lauzon |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:06 | 0:46 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 103 | 952 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Cole Miller edged out Dan Lauzon on the ground with 0 takedowns, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Dan Lauzon |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 106 | 1 177 |
| Activity ELO | 1 128 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -15 |
Cole Miller demonstrated solid activity levels with 106 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Cole Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Dan Lauzon's 1177-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Dan Lauzon |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 065 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -17 |
Cole Miller started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dan Lauzon is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Dan Lauzon |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 054 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

