January 22, 2008
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cole Miller | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 029 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +36 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 018 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:44 | 4:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 080 | 1 123 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +117 |
Jeremy Stephens gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 30 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 29 | 54 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 64 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 958 | 1 186 |
| ELO Change | -174 | +174 |
Jeremy Stephens dominated the striking exchanges with 64 vs 13 total strikes, 30 vs 5 significant strikes, 55.6% vs 17.2% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jeremy Stephens capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:54 | 4:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 24 |
| Ground ELO | 1 023 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -71 | +71 |
Jeremy Stephens controlled Cole Miller on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 4:19 of control time, 24 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 127 | 124 |
| Activity ELO | 1 065 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +48 |
Jeremy Stephens demonstrated solid activity levels with 124 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jeremy Stephens capitalized on this activity level, while Cole Miller's 127-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +28 |
Jeremy Stephens extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cole Miller is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Jeremy Stephens |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 018 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.