March 31, 2009
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cole Miller | Junie Browning |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 093 | 993 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Cole Miller's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cole Miller for the expected result. Had Junie Browning pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Junie Browning |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 059 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Junie Browning |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:58 | 1:58 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 196 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | +65 | -34 |
Cole Miller earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:58, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Junie Browning |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 16 | 3 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 048 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -69 |
Cole Miller slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 18.8% vs 33.3% accuracy. Cole Miller capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Junie Browning |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 135 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Cole Miller edged out Junie Browning on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Junie Browning |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 270 | 109 |
| Activity ELO | 1 118 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Cole Miller demonstrated standard activity with 270 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Cole Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Junie Browning's 109-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Junie Browning |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 070 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Cole Miller extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Junie Browning is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Junie Browning |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 059 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

