September 18, 2007
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cole Miller | Leonard Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 053 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Leonard Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Leonard Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 137 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Cole Miller earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Leonard Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 48 | 32 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 59 | 95 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 132 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Leonard Garcia controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (95 vs 59 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (16 vs 21). However, since Leonard Garcia lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Cole Miller's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Leonard Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 11:18 | 2:25 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 17 | 11 |
| Ground ELO | 1 094 | 940 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Cole Miller edged out Leonard Garcia on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 11:18 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Leonard Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 88 | 88 |
| Activity ELO | 1 089 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -23 |
Cole Miller demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 88 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Cole Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Leonard Garcia's 88-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Leonard Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 047 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Cole Miller extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Leonard Garcia is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Leonard Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.