December 16, 2016
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cole Miller | Mizuto Hirota |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 20 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 16 | -16 |
| Experience ELO | 970 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +76 |
Mizuto Hirota overcame a 16-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 20 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Cole Miller.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Mizuto Hirota |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 986 | 986 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Mizuto Hirota |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 054 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
Mizuto Hirota earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Mizuto Hirota |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 57 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 60 | 114 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 22 | 165 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 903 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | -65 | +65 |
Mizuto Hirota dominated the striking exchanges with 165 vs 22 total strikes, 57 vs 21 significant strikes, 50.0% vs 35.0% accuracy. Mizuto Hirota capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Mizuto Hirota |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:03 | 9:48 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 30 |
| Ground ELO | 823 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -141 | +141 |
Mizuto Hirota dominated Cole Miller on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 9:48 of control time, 30 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Mizuto Hirota |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 197 | 449 |
| Activity ELO | 1 101 | 989 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +27 |
Mizuto Hirota demonstrated extended layoff with 449 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Mizuto Hirota capitalized on this activity level, while Cole Miller's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Mizuto Hirota |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 004 | 990 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +28 |
Mizuto Hirota started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cole Miller is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Mizuto Hirota |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 986 | 986 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.