September 14, 2010
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cole Miller | Ross Pearson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 113 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Cole Miller's 4-fight experience advantage (8 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cole Miller for the expected result. Had Ross Pearson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Ross Pearson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 075 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Ross Pearson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:49 | 1:49 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 231 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -36 |
Cole Miller earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:49, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Ross Pearson was submitted.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Ross Pearson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 78 | 71 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 24 | 30 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 047 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -73 |
Cole Miller controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Cole Miller capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Ross Pearson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:39 | 0:20 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 154 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Cole Miller controlled Ross Pearson on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:39 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Ross Pearson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 256 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 153 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -20 |
Cole Miller demonstrated standard activity with 256 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Cole Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Ross Pearson's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Ross Pearson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 091 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -21 |
Cole Miller extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ross Pearson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Ross Pearson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 075 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.