January 14, 2014
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cole Miller | Sam Sicilia |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 11 | -11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 072 | 972 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Cole Miller's 11-fight experience advantage (16 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cole Miller for the expected result. Had Sam Sicilia pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Sam Sicilia |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 052 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Sam Sicilia |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:54 | 1:54 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 204 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -33 |
Cole Miller earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:54, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Sam Sicilia was submitted.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Sam Sicilia |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 91 | 56 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 38 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 090 | 947 |
| ELO Change | +86 | -86 |
Cole Miller controlled the striking exchanges with 38 vs 14 total strikes, 38 vs 14 significant strikes, 41.8% vs 25.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Cole Miller capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Sam Sicilia |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:25 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 126 | 920 |
| ELO Change | +114 | -114 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Sam Sicilia |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 82 | 67 |
| Activity ELO | 1 175 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -14 |
Cole Miller demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 82 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Cole Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Sam Sicilia's 67-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Sam Sicilia |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 071 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -18 |
Cole Miller extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sam Sicilia is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cole Miller | Sam Sicilia |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 052 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

