Cole Miller vs Sam Sicilia

January 14, 2014

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1105
(+47)
Cole Miller
Winner: Cole Miller
Submission
Round 2 • 1:54

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Cole Miller+47
Sam Sicilia-41
977
(-41)
Sam Sicilia

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Cole Miller: +27Sam Sicilia: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricCole MillerSam Sicilia
Total UFC Fights165
Experience Gap11-11
Experience ELO1 072972
ELO Change+27-27
💡

What Happened

Cole Miller's 11-fight experience advantage (16 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cole Miller for the expected result. Had Sam Sicilia pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Cole Miller: +19Sam Sicilia: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricCole MillerSam Sicilia
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 052980
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Cole Miller: +51Sam Sicilia: -33

Performance Statistics

MetricCole MillerSam Sicilia
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:541:54
Win Type ELO1 2041 042
ELO Change+51-33
💡

What Happened

Cole Miller earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:54, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Sam Sicilia was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Cole Miller: +86Sam Sicilia: -86

Performance Statistics

MetricCole MillerSam Sicilia
Significant Strikes Landed3814
Significant Strikes Attempted9156
Total Strikes Landed3814
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 090947
ELO Change+86-86
💡

What Happened

Cole Miller controlled the striking exchanges with 38 vs 14 total strikes, 38 vs 14 significant strikes, 41.8% vs 25.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Cole Miller capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Cole Miller: +114Sam Sicilia: -114

Performance Statistics

MetricCole MillerSam Sicilia
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time0:250:00
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO1 126920
ELO Change+114-114
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Cole Miller: +41Sam Sicilia: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricCole MillerSam Sicilia
Days Since Last Fight8267
Activity ELO1 175991
ELO Change+41-14
💡

What Happened

Cole Miller demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 82 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Cole Miller capitalized on this activity level, while Sam Sicilia's 67-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Cole Miller: +22Sam Sicilia: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricCole MillerSam Sicilia
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 071985
ELO Change+22-18
💡

What Happened

Cole Miller extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Sam Sicilia is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Cole Miller: +19Sam Sicilia: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricCole MillerSam Sicilia
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 052980
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.