May 3, 2019
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cole Smith | Mitch Gagnon |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 084 | 946 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -84 |
Cole Smith overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Mitch Gagnon.
| Metric | Cole Smith | Mitch Gagnon |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 022 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cole Smith | Mitch Gagnon |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 055 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -55 |
Cole Smith earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Cole Smith | Mitch Gagnon |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 88 | 54 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 56 | 23 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 057 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
Cole Smith controlled the striking exchanges with 56 vs 23 total strikes, 38 vs 15 significant strikes, 43.2% vs 27.8% accuracy. Cole Smith capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cole Smith | Mitch Gagnon |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:02 | 2:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 057 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -57 |
Cole Smith edged out Mitch Gagnon on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 8:02 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Cole Smith | Mitch Gagnon |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 875 |
| Activity ELO | 1 025 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Cole Smith demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Cole Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Mitch Gagnon's 875-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cole Smith | Mitch Gagnon |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 026 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -23 |
Cole Smith started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mitch Gagnon is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cole Smith | Mitch Gagnon |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 022 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.