October 30, 2020
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cole Williams | Jason Witt |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 962 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Cole Williams | Jason Witt |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 963 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cole Williams | Jason Witt |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:09 | 2:09 |
| Win Type ELO | 938 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +68 |
Jason Witt earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:09, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Cole Williams was submitted.
| Metric | Cole Williams | Jason Witt |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 5 | 31 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 23 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 857 | 956 |
| ELO Change | -89 | +89 |
Jason Witt controlled the striking exchanges with 50 vs 23 total strikes, 20 vs 1 significant strikes, 64.5% vs 20.0% accuracy. Jason Witt capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cole Williams | Jason Witt |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 6:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 15 |
| Ground ELO | 798 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -168 | +168 |
Jason Witt dominated Cole Williams on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 6:19 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Cole Williams | Jason Witt |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 456 | 127 |
| Activity ELO | 964 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +43 |
Jason Witt demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jason Witt capitalized on this activity level, while Cole Williams's 456-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cole Williams | Jason Witt |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 964 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Jason Witt started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cole Williams is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cole Williams | Jason Witt |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 963 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.