March 15, 2013
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Colin Fletcher | Mike Ricci |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 958 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Colin Fletcher | Mike Ricci |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 958 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Colin Fletcher | Mike Ricci |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 916 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Mike Ricci earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Colin Fletcher | Mike Ricci |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 47 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 127 | 137 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 61 | 55 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 952 | 969 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Mike Ricci edged the striking exchanges with 47 vs 37 significant strikes. Mike Ricci capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Colin Fletcher | Mike Ricci |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:15 | 3:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 841 | 964 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Mike Ricci controlled Colin Fletcher on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:39 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Colin Fletcher | Mike Ricci |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 92 | 91 |
| Activity ELO | 958 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +53 |
Mike Ricci demonstrated solid activity levels with 91 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mike Ricci capitalized on this activity level, while Colin Fletcher's 92-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Colin Fletcher | Mike Ricci |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 958 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Mike Ricci started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Colin Fletcher is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Colin Fletcher | Mike Ricci |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 958 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.