June 15, 2007
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Colin Robinson | Eddie Sanchez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 964 | 988 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Eddie Sanchez's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Eddie Sanchez for the expected result. Had Colin Robinson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Colin Robinson | Eddie Sanchez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Colin Robinson | Eddie Sanchez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:32 | 0:32 |
| Win Type ELO | 962 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +78 |
Eddie Sanchez gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Colin Robinson | Eddie Sanchez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 41 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 50 | 67 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 62 | 68 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 934 | 997 |
| ELO Change | -66 | +66 |
Eddie Sanchez slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 41 vs 36 significant strikes, 61.2% vs 72.0% accuracy. Eddie Sanchez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Colin Robinson | Eddie Sanchez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:15 | 2:23 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 20 | 25 |
| Ground ELO | 966 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Eddie Sanchez slightly outworked Colin Robinson on the ground with 1 takedown, 2:23 of control time, 25 ground strikes, earning modest grappling bonuses.
| Metric | Colin Robinson | Eddie Sanchez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +42 |
Eddie Sanchez demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Eddie Sanchez capitalized on this activity level, while Colin Robinson's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Colin Robinson | Eddie Sanchez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Eddie Sanchez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Colin Robinson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Colin Robinson | Eddie Sanchez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

