Colton Smith vs Michael Chiesa

November 5, 2013

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

966
(-28)
Colton Smith
Winner: Michael Chiesa
Submission
Round 2 • 1:41

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Colton Smith-28
Michael Chiesa+34
1059
(+34)
Michael Chiesa

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Colton Smith: -29Michael Chiesa: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricColton SmithMichael Chiesa
Total UFC Fights34
Experience Gap-11
Experience ELO9711 054
ELO Change-29+29
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Colton Smith: -20Michael Chiesa: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricColton SmithMichael Chiesa
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9801 039
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Colton Smith: -34Michael Chiesa: +52

Performance Statistics

MetricColton SmithMichael Chiesa
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:411:41
Win Type ELO9661 123
ELO Change-34+52
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What Happened

Michael Chiesa earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:41, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Colton Smith was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Colton Smith: -22Michael Chiesa: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricColton SmithMichael Chiesa
Significant Strikes Landed47
Significant Strikes Attempted1819
Total Strikes Landed139
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9081 036
ELO Change-22+22
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What Happened

Michael Chiesa slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 36.8% vs 22.2% accuracy. Michael Chiesa capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Colton Smith: -58Michael Chiesa: +58

Performance Statistics

MetricColton SmithMichael Chiesa
Takedowns Landed21
Takedowns Attempted32
Ground Control Time3:111:21
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO9631 058
ELO Change-58+58
💡

What Happened

Michael Chiesa controlled Colton Smith on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:21 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Colton Smith: -19Michael Chiesa: +49

Performance Statistics

MetricColton SmithMichael Chiesa
Days Since Last Fight166103
Activity ELO9811 074
ELO Change-19+49
💡

What Happened

Michael Chiesa demonstrated solid activity levels with 103 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Michael Chiesa capitalized on this activity level, while Colton Smith's 166-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Colton Smith: -20Michael Chiesa: +22

Performance Statistics

MetricColton SmithMichael Chiesa
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9821 047
ELO Change-20+22
💡

What Happened

Michael Chiesa started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Colton Smith is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Colton Smith: -20Michael Chiesa: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricColton SmithMichael Chiesa
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9801 039
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.